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January 10, 2013
EMC Corp.
Downgrade to EW on Slowing Storage Growth
Near-term, weak enterprise demand leads us to cut our 4Q12 EPS by $0.01, which combined with l-t uncertainty from flash and cloud disruptions shave $0.10 off our 2013 EPS. EMC remains our preferred storage vendor with a strong product portfolio and margin expansion, but we see less upside in 2013.
Also reducing multiple expectations. The weak near-term demand and less certainty around the long-term growth of enterprise storage also makes multiple expansion less likely near-term, a key element of our prior OW thesis. Our new base case of $26 (down from $35) applies a 14x P/E multiple, in line with EPS growth, to our lowered CY13 EPS estimate of $1.85 (vs. $1.95 previously and below consensus of $1.91). While there could be further downside to our model if storage growth remains weak throughout 2013, EMC’s software portfolio adds roughly 500bps revenue growth and 200bps gross margin expansion annually, which provides a floor to estimates.
Weak enterprise storage demand. While C4Q turned out to be challenging for hardware in general, our channel checks suggest storage experienced the largest negative change on the margin. Our contacts attributed most of the shortfall to indecision in the face of alternative storage solutions and a tight budget environment. We continue to view EMC as a share gainer, but in a slower growth market.
Evolving storage architectures could slow revenue growth. While EMC is out in front of many of the emerging trends including cloud, flash, and deduplication, in aggregate these could pressure EMC’s legacy product lines which account for over 1/3 of revenue. We discuss this theme in our 2013 annual outlook published today, Sticking with Growth in 2013. We now expect 5% Y/Y storage revenue growth in 2013, down from 9% previously and flat with 5% growth in 2012. EMC’s traditional SAN storage business saw the largest cut where we model 2% growth (down form 7%).
Downgrade to EW on Slowing Storage Growth
Near-term, weak enterprise demand leads us to cut our 4Q12 EPS by $0.01, which combined with l-t uncertainty from flash and cloud disruptions shave $0.10 off our 2013 EPS. EMC remains our preferred storage vendor with a strong product portfolio and margin expansion, but we see less upside in 2013.
Also reducing multiple expectations. The weak near-term demand and less certainty around the long-term growth of enterprise storage also makes multiple expansion less likely near-term, a key element of our prior OW thesis. Our new base case of $26 (down from $35) applies a 14x P/E multiple, in line with EPS growth, to our lowered CY13 EPS estimate of $1.85 (vs. $1.95 previously and below consensus of $1.91). While there could be further downside to our model if storage growth remains weak throughout 2013, EMC’s software portfolio adds roughly 500bps revenue growth and 200bps gross margin expansion annually, which provides a floor to estimates.
Weak enterprise storage demand. While C4Q turned out to be challenging for hardware in general, our channel checks suggest storage experienced the largest negative change on the margin. Our contacts attributed most of the shortfall to indecision in the face of alternative storage solutions and a tight budget environment. We continue to view EMC as a share gainer, but in a slower growth market.
Evolving storage architectures could slow revenue growth. While EMC is out in front of many of the emerging trends including cloud, flash, and deduplication, in aggregate these could pressure EMC’s legacy product lines which account for over 1/3 of revenue. We discuss this theme in our 2013 annual outlook published today, Sticking with Growth in 2013. We now expect 5% Y/Y storage revenue growth in 2013, down from 9% previously and flat with 5% growth in 2012. EMC’s traditional SAN storage business saw the largest cut where we model 2% growth (down form 7%).
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
NORTH AMERICA
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
Katy L. Huberty, CFA
Kathryn.Huberty@morganstanley.com +1 212 761 6249
Scott Schmitz
Scott.Schmitz@morganstanley.com +1 617 856 8074
Kathryn.Huberty@morganstanley.com +1 212 761 6249
Scott Schmitz
Scott.Schmitz@morganstanley.com +1 617 856 8074
Stock Rating
Equal-weight
Equal-weight
Industry View
In-Line
In-Line
Key Ratios and Statistics
Reuters: EMC.N Bloomberg: EMC US
Systems and PC Hardware / United States of America Shr price, close (Jan 9, 2013)
Mkt cap, curr (mm) 52-Week Range
Exhibit 1
EMC Estimate Change Summary
Systems and PC Hardware / United States of America Shr price, close (Jan 9, 2013)
Mkt cap, curr (mm) 52-Week Range
Exhibit 1
EMC Estimate Change Summary
$24.02
$53,156
$30.00-21.74
Revenue
Revenue Growth % Consensus Growth %
Growth Margin % Operating Margin %
EPS Consensus EPS P/E Multiple BaseCase
Revenue Growth % Consensus Growth %
Growth Margin % Operating Margin %
EPS Consensus EPS P/E Multiple BaseCase
$5,916
6.1%
7.3%
64.9%
26.7%
$0.51 $0.52
64.9%
26.7%
$0.51 $0.52
$6,003
7.7%
65.2% 26.9%
$0.52
65.2% 26.9%
$0.52
$23,307
7.9%
9.2%
64.6%
24.7%
64.6%
24.7%
$24,020
10.8%
64.7% 25.2%
$1.95
64.7% 25.2%
$1.95
4Q
New Old
New Old
2013
New Old
New Old
$1.85
$1.91
14.0x
18.0x
$26 $35
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
Storage Reseller Conference Call: January 11, 2013 at 11:00 AM EST *Toll-Free Dial-in #: (888) 336-3488 *International Dial-in #: (702) 928-6461 Conference ID #: 86875837
Storage Reseller Conference Call: January 11, 2013 at 11:00 AM EST *Toll-Free Dial-in #: (888) 336-3488 *International Dial-in #: (702) 928-6461 Conference ID #: 86875837
Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with
companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As
a result, investors should be aware that the firm may
have a conflict of interest that could affect the
objectivity of Morgan Stanley Research. Investors
should consider Morgan Stanley Research as only a
single factor in making their investment decision.
For analyst certification and other important disclosures, refer to the Disclosure Section, located at the end of this report.
For analyst certification and other important disclosures, refer to the Disclosure Section, located at the end of this report.
Risk-Reward Snapshot: EMC Corp. (EMC,
$35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Jan-11 Jul-11
Base Case (Jan-14)
0
Jan-11 Jul-11
Base Case (Jan-14)
$32.00 (+33%)
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Equal-weight)
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Equal-weight)
$ 24.02 $26.00 (+8%)
$20.00 (-17%)
Jan-12 Jul-12
Historical Stock Performance
Jan-13
Jul-13
Current Stock Price WARNINGDONOTEDIT_RRS4RL~EMC.N~
Current Stock Price WARNINGDONOTEDIT_RRS4RL~EMC.N~
Jan-14
Bull
Case
$32
16x P/E on
consolidated
CY13
non-GAAP
EPS of $2.00
14x P/E on consolidated CY13 non-GAAP EPS of $1.85
12x P/E on consolidated CY13 non-GAAP EPS of $1.70
14x P/E on consolidated CY13 non-GAAP EPS of $1.85
12x P/E on consolidated CY13 non-GAAP EPS of $1.70
Storage grows in the mid-single digits in 2013 while
evolving architectures cloud long-term growth rates. We
model 5% storage growth in 2013, inline with the 5% growth in
2012. On a consolidated basis, we model 8% revenue growth
and 11% earnings growth in 2013. We apply a 14x P/E
multiple to our consolidated CY13 EPS of $1.85. On a
sum-of-the-parts basis, this implies an 8x P/E multiple on the
core Information Infrastructure business, which is inline with
the 6-12x historical range.
Storage grows low-single digits in 2013 as emerging solutions pressure growth sooner than expected. We apply the market multiple of 12x to EMC’s consolidated CY13 non-GAAP EPS (roughly flat Y/Y), to account for in line growth with the overall market.
Storage grows low-single digits in 2013 as emerging solutions pressure growth sooner than expected. We apply the market multiple of 12x to EMC’s consolidated CY13 non-GAAP EPS (roughly flat Y/Y), to account for in line growth with the overall market.
Investment Thesis
-
Weak enterprise storage demand in
the near-term and potential
longer-term disruption from evolving
storage architectures could pressure
storage growth estimates and limit
multiple expansion.
-
Withinstorage,EMCremainsrelatively
well positioned with a strong product
portfolio and leading, high-margin
solutions in emerging categories.
Key Debates
-
Is the recent storage slowdown secular
or cyclical? Mostly cyclical, but l-t
threats loom. We continue to expect
storage will outgrow other hardware
sectors, but evolving storage
architectures, including flash-based
storage and cloud storage, could
pressure growth rates l-t. Compression
technologies also reduce the required
disk storage systems, which make up
around 50% of EMC revenue.
-
Can EMC continue to expand gross
margins? Modestly. The increasing
mix of revenue from VMW, Data
Domain, and Isilon (28% of rev) should
drive 200 bps of a margin tailwind,
which can help offset reduced operating
leverage if core growth slows.
Potential Catalysts
• New product lines and acquired assets drive growth and margin improvement. • Product refresh expected in May 2013.
• Expanded distribution.
• Full value of VMW realized.
Investment Risks
• Macro weakness negatively impacts enterprise IT spending.
• Increased competition pressures pricing and win rates.
• New storage paradigms lower traditional disk system growth. • Lower than expected software
revenues could increase weight of
lower-margin hardware business. • Acquisitions fail to drive growth.
Storage growth returns to double digits as near-term
weakness proves to be cyclical. Total operating margins
expand 100 bps due to mix and operating leverage. We apply
a 16x P/E multiple to our CY13 bull case EPS of $2.00, which
implies a PEG of 0.8x. On a sum-of-the parts basis, this
implies a 10x multiple on the core Information Infrastructure
business, which is inline with the 6-12x historical range.
Base
Case
$26
Bear
Case
$20
Source: Thomson Reuters, Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
2
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Evolving Storage Architectures Cloud the Growth Outlook
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Evolving Storage Architectures Cloud the Growth Outlook
Summary & Conclusions
EMC continues to be our preferred name in the storage market, but we see limited upside over the next year due to near-term demand weakness and disruption from evolving cloud, flash, and efficiency solutions. We expect uncertainty around the long-term growth rate of storage to limit multiple expansion. As a result, we see less share price upside and move to an Equal-weight rating.
Weak near-term demand
Storage demand came in below expectations for most of our reseller contacts due to a broad array of concerns that include budget issues, slow decision-making processes, and indecision due to the number of alternative solutions in the market. Several of our contacts described 4Q as “terrible” and some said they missed their plans by as much as 20%. A few smaller resellers noted a more normal environment, but this view appears skewed by a few larger deals.
Demand weakened across all vendors, but on a relative basis, resellers continue to view EMC more positively because its solutions cater to end users. Projects that solve a specific business need have an easier time gaining CIO approval than general IT purchases. Our reseller contacts continue to highlight EMC as the best vendor at crafting a solutions-oriented message that appeals to customers. We did not pick up much change in the competitive tone between EMC and NetApp and the initial read on demand from NetApp’s recent 3000 series refresh appears only modest.
As expected, our reseller contacts remain optimistic about storage demand next year although most only expect growth rates consistent with 2012, which is in-line with our lowered forecast. Many expect the recent weakness will continue into C1H13, but are hopeful demand picks up in C2H13 as data growth continues at a rapid pace. Enterprise flash continues to gain interest and adoption, but resellers do not believe it’s having a material impact on traditional storage system sales. Though, we’d point out that most of the adoption is in hyperscale data centers (like Facebook) and large enterprise accounts that don’t buy form the channel. While EMC participates in enterprise flash, Fusion-IO is the most commonly referenced vendor by our channel contacts.
Evolving storage architectures and solutions could pressure traditional storage growth rates
The fundamental drivers of data creation remain robust, but evolving storage architectures (cloud and flash) and increasing
EMC continues to be our preferred name in the storage market, but we see limited upside over the next year due to near-term demand weakness and disruption from evolving cloud, flash, and efficiency solutions. We expect uncertainty around the long-term growth rate of storage to limit multiple expansion. As a result, we see less share price upside and move to an Equal-weight rating.
Weak near-term demand
Storage demand came in below expectations for most of our reseller contacts due to a broad array of concerns that include budget issues, slow decision-making processes, and indecision due to the number of alternative solutions in the market. Several of our contacts described 4Q as “terrible” and some said they missed their plans by as much as 20%. A few smaller resellers noted a more normal environment, but this view appears skewed by a few larger deals.
Demand weakened across all vendors, but on a relative basis, resellers continue to view EMC more positively because its solutions cater to end users. Projects that solve a specific business need have an easier time gaining CIO approval than general IT purchases. Our reseller contacts continue to highlight EMC as the best vendor at crafting a solutions-oriented message that appeals to customers. We did not pick up much change in the competitive tone between EMC and NetApp and the initial read on demand from NetApp’s recent 3000 series refresh appears only modest.
As expected, our reseller contacts remain optimistic about storage demand next year although most only expect growth rates consistent with 2012, which is in-line with our lowered forecast. Many expect the recent weakness will continue into C1H13, but are hopeful demand picks up in C2H13 as data growth continues at a rapid pace. Enterprise flash continues to gain interest and adoption, but resellers do not believe it’s having a material impact on traditional storage system sales. Though, we’d point out that most of the adoption is in hyperscale data centers (like Facebook) and large enterprise accounts that don’t buy form the channel. While EMC participates in enterprise flash, Fusion-IO is the most commonly referenced vendor by our channel contacts.
Evolving storage architectures and solutions could pressure traditional storage growth rates
The fundamental drivers of data creation remain robust, but evolving storage architectures (cloud and flash) and increasing
adoption of efficiency solutions (de-duplication and
compression) are changing the amount of traditional enterprise
capacity shipped. Device proliferation, social media, video,
machine-generated data (sensor, log, and click-stream), and
legal/regulatory requirements are just a few of the primary
trends that continue to generate large volumes of data. Yet,
enterprise storage capacity is slowly beginning to decelerate
with most forecasts calling for ~40% annual growth over the
next several years, down from ~50% previously.
Non-traditional storage is making headway. Of particular concern for enterprise storage vendors is the fact that more enterprise storage capacity was consumed through non-traditional storage OEMs (direct HDD purchases, system integrators, and distributors) than traditional enterprise storage systems offerings (like those from EMC and NetApp). What’s more, the non-traditional storage market is growing over 30 points faster, according to IDC (Exhibit 2). For more details see our 2013 annual outlook, Sticking with Growth in 2013, which was also published today.
Exhibit 2
Large data center adoption of flash storage and broader adoption of cloud storage drives demand away from traditional Enterprise-class storage OEMs
Non-traditional storage is making headway. Of particular concern for enterprise storage vendors is the fact that more enterprise storage capacity was consumed through non-traditional storage OEMs (direct HDD purchases, system integrators, and distributors) than traditional enterprise storage systems offerings (like those from EMC and NetApp). What’s more, the non-traditional storage market is growing over 30 points faster, according to IDC (Exhibit 2). For more details see our 2013 annual outlook, Sticking with Growth in 2013, which was also published today.
Exhibit 2
Large data center adoption of flash storage and broader adoption of cloud storage drives demand away from traditional Enterprise-class storage OEMs
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
-
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2011-2015 CAGR
Enterprise Storage System Capacity: 39 % Structred: 23% Unstructured: 47% Non-OEM Enterprise Storage Capacity: 70% |
|||
Enterprise System Capacity
Non-OEM Enterprise Capacity
Note: Forecast is from IDC
Source: IDC, Morgan Stanley Research
Slower storage growth limits multiple expansion
We reduce our C4Q and 2013 revenue and EPS estimates due to the weak near-term demand and uncertainty around the long-term growth of enterprise storage. EMC’s traditional SAN storage business saw the largest cut where we model 2% growth down form 7% previously. In total, we model 5%
Source: IDC, Morgan Stanley Research
Slower storage growth limits multiple expansion
We reduce our C4Q and 2013 revenue and EPS estimates due to the weak near-term demand and uncertainty around the long-term growth of enterprise storage. EMC’s traditional SAN storage business saw the largest cut where we model 2% growth down form 7% previously. In total, we model 5%
3
Exabytes (EB)
storage growth in 2013, down from 9% previously and flat with
5% growth in 2012. Our new C13 EPS estimate of $1.85 (down
from $1.95) implies 11% earnings growth (down from 17%).
We expect the reduced growth rate and lower visibility to limit
multiple expansion, which we previously assumed in our
overweight thesis. We expect EMC to trade towards the
low-end of its historical 13-19x range. Our $26 base case
applies a 14x P/E multiple to the consolidated EMC forecast in
CY13.
Exhibit 3
Estimate revision drives consolidated P/E multiple to low-end of five year range
Exhibit 3
Estimate revision drives consolidated P/E multiple to low-end of five year range
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Exhibit 4
EMC base case of $26 implies 8x multiple on core EMC business
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Exhibit 4
EMC base case of $26 implies 8x multiple on core EMC business
1/4/2008
4/4/2008
7/4/2008
10/4/2008
1/4/2009
4/4/2009
7/4/2009
10/4/2009
1/4/2010
4/4/2010
7/4/2010
10/4/2010
1/4/2011
4/4/2011
7/4/2011
10/4/2011
1/4/2012
4/4/2012
7/4/2012
10/4/2012
1/4/2013
Aug-07
Nov-07
Feb-08
May-08
Aug-08
Nov-08
Feb-09
May-09
Aug-09
Nov-09
Feb-10
May-10
Aug-10
Nov-10
Feb-11
May-11
Aug-11
Nov-11
Feb-12
May-12
Aug-12
Nov-12
EMC Core Information Infrastructure
VMW
25 P/E
22
19
16
13 10
19
16
13 10
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth 30%
20%
10%
0% -10% -20% -30% -40%
0% -10% -20% -30% -40%
16.0x
14.0x
12.0x
10.0x
8.0x
6.0x
4.0x
2.0x
0.0x
14.0x
12.0x
10.0x
8.0x
6.0x
4.0x
2.0x
0.0x
100.0x
80.0x
60.0x
40.0x
20.0x
0.0x
80.0x
60.0x
40.0x
20.0x
0.0x
EMC Core P/E NTM
VMW P/E NTM
Source: Thomson Reuters, Morgan Stanley Research
Source: Thomson Reuters, Morgan Stanley Research
Where we could be wrong:
Where we could be wrong:
Morgan Stanley is acting as financial advisor to Seagate
Technology plc ("Seagate") in connection with its exclusive
agreement with LaCie Group S.A. ("LaCie") to acquire a
controlling interest in LaCie, as announced on May 23,
2012. Following the receipt of the customary approvals and the close of this transaction, Seagate would commence a tender offer to acquire the remaining outstanding shares of LaCie in accordance with the General Regulation of the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers.
This report and the information provided herein is not intended to (i) provide advice with respect to whether to tender LaCie shares, (ii) serve as an endorsement of the proposed transactions, or (iii) result in the procurement or exchange of a security by a security holder.
Seagate has agreed to pay fees to Morgan Stanley for its financial services that are contingent upon the consummation of the proposed transaction. Please refer to the notes at the end of the report.
2012. Following the receipt of the customary approvals and the close of this transaction, Seagate would commence a tender offer to acquire the remaining outstanding shares of LaCie in accordance with the General Regulation of the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers.
This report and the information provided herein is not intended to (i) provide advice with respect to whether to tender LaCie shares, (ii) serve as an endorsement of the proposed transactions, or (iii) result in the procurement or exchange of a security by a security holder.
Seagate has agreed to pay fees to Morgan Stanley for its financial services that are contingent upon the consummation of the proposed transaction. Please refer to the notes at the end of the report.
On a sum of the parts basis, our new $26 EMC base case
implies EMC’s core Information Infrastructure business trades
at 8x on CY13 EPS, up from 7x currently, assuming no change
to VMW (VMW is covered by Adam Holt). EMC’s core
Information Infrastructure business has traded between 6-12x
since EMC spun out part of VMW over five years ago (Exhibits
4 & 5). If VMW reaches Morgan Stanley software team’s $120
price target, the core EMC business would be valued below the
historical range based on our $26 base case. This would likely
prove conservative in light of EMC’s strong product portfolio
and mix benefit from higher margin assets that could boost
earnings growth. In addition, major architecture changes
usually happen slower than expected in large enterprise
environments.
4
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Exhibit 5
EMC Sum of the Parts Analysis
EMC Sum of the Parts Analysis
Revenue Growth CY13
EBIT Margin (non-GAAP)
FCF/Revenue
EV/Sales EV/FCF P/E
Current Price
Information Infrastructure
Revenue Growth
EBIT Margin (non-GAAP) FCF/Revenue
Price Contribution to EMC EV/Sales
EV/FCF
P/E
Virtual Infrastructure
Revenue Growth
EBIT Margin (non-GAAP) FCF/Revenue
Price Contribution to EMC VMW Price
EV/Sales
EV/FCF
P/E
EV/Sales EV/FCF P/E
Current Price
Information Infrastructure
Revenue Growth
EBIT Margin (non-GAAP) FCF/Revenue
Price Contribution to EMC EV/Sales
EV/FCF
P/E
Virtual Infrastructure
Revenue Growth
EBIT Margin (non-GAAP) FCF/Revenue
Price Contribution to EMC VMW Price
EV/Sales
EV/FCF
P/E
EMC
Current
1.9x
8.3x 13.0x
$24.02
8.3x 13.0x
$24.02
EMC Base Case
Peer Comparisons
EMC Consolidated
IBM NTAP ORCL
7.9%
24.7%
22.7%
Implied Price
2.0x $25
9.0x $26 14.0x $26
Implied Price
2.0x $25
9.0x $26 14.0x $26
1.6%
22.7%
18.1%
2.3x 12.6x 11.7x
2.3x 12.6x 11.7x
5.2% 5.6%
9.9% 48.3% 17.3% 39.0%
1.2x 3.9x
6.7x 10.0x 13.9x 11.9x
9.9% 48.3% 17.3% 39.0%
1.2x 3.9x
6.7x 10.0x 13.9x 11.9x
PT $26
NTAP TDC
$9.18
0.9x
4.2x
6.9x
5.2%
22.3%
20.1%
$6.50 0.6x 3.1x 4.9x
$6.50 0.6x 3.1x 4.9x
5.2% 11.7%
9.9% 25.5% 17.3% 15.9%
1.2x 3.5x
6.7x 22.1x 13.9x 20.3x
CRM CTXS RHT
9.9% 25.5% 17.3% 15.9%
1.2x 3.5x
6.7x 22.1x 13.9x 20.3x
CRM CTXS RHT
$14.84
$94.87
6.9x 17.5x 28.3x
6.9x 17.5x 28.3x
18.2%
32.6%
39.3%
$19.19 $120.00
PT based on 23x CY13 EV/Adj. FCF + $9 cash
$19.19 $120.00
PT based on 23x CY13 EV/Adj. FCF + $9 cash
28.8%
12.5%
18.0%
6.1x 34.0x NM
6.1x 34.0x NM
13.9%
25.8%
26.1%
4.0x 15.3x 22.3x
4.0x 15.3x 22.3x
16.5%
25.3%
29.0%
6.3x 21.7x 41.1x
6.3x 21.7x 41.1x
Note: VMW, CRM, CTXS, and RHT are covered by Adam Holt
Source: Company data, Thomson Reuters, Morgan Stanley Research. E = Morgan Stanley Research estimates
Source: Company data, Thomson Reuters, Morgan Stanley Research. E = Morgan Stanley Research estimates
5
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Exhibit 6
EMC Income Statement
EMC Income Statement
($ in millions)
2012E
2013E
Fiscal Year
Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13
2009A 2010A 2011A 2012E 2013E
Revenues
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
Product Revenue Services Revenue
Cost of revenues
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
Corporate Reconciling Items
Gross Profit
Gross Margin % (GAAP)
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
Corporate Reconciling Items
Product Gross Profit
Gross Margin %
Services Gross Profit
Gross Margin %
Operating Expenses
SG&A
Research and Development
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
Product Revenue Services Revenue
Cost of revenues
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
Corporate Reconciling Items
Gross Profit
Gross Margin % (GAAP)
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
Corporate Reconciling Items
Product Gross Profit
Gross Margin %
Services Gross Profit
Gross Margin %
Operating Expenses
SG&A
Research and Development
Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
5,094.4
3,688.9 145.6 206.5 1,053.4
3,068.9 2,025.5
1,981.2
1,629.0 55.9 73.2 128.2 94.9
3,688.9 145.6 206.5 1,053.4
3,068.9 2,025.5
1,981.2
1,629.0 55.9 73.2 128.2 94.9
5,311.4
3,817.2 152.8 220.8 1,120.6
3,178.7 2,132.7
1,987.8
1,638.1 50.4 65.4 136.6 97.2
3,817.2 152.8 220.8 1,120.6
3,178.7 2,132.7
1,987.8
1,638.1 50.4 65.4 136.6 97.2
5,278.2
3,762.8 158.0 226.9 1,130.5
3,084.4 2,193.7
1,990.6
1,625.9 50.5 81.3 135.6 97.3
3,762.8 158.0 226.9 1,130.5
3,084.4 2,193.7
1,990.6
1,625.9 50.5 81.3 135.6 97.3
5,916.4
4,192.6 189.7 260.5 1,273.6
3,602.2 2,314.2
2,177.9
1,785.2 66.4 85.9 140.5 99.8
4,192.6 189.7 260.5 1,273.6
3,602.2 2,314.2
2,177.9
1,785.2 66.4 85.9 140.5 99.8
5,429.8
3,808.1 141.6 236.3 1,243.9
3,177.6 2,252.3
2,079.9
1,705.5 51.0 80.3 146.6 96.5
3,808.1 141.6 236.3 1,243.9
3,177.6 2,252.3
2,079.9
1,705.5 51.0 80.3 146.6 96.5
5,690.7
3,947.2 154.7 252.6 1,336.2
3,332.6 2,358.0
2,127.2
1,729.4 55.7 85.9 153.6 102.7
3,947.2 154.7 252.6 1,336.2
3,332.6 2,358.0
2,127.2
1,729.4 55.7 85.9 153.6 102.7
5,733.4
4,001.7 160.3 240.1 1,331.4
3,328.0 2,405.4
2,127.0
1,732.3 57.7 79.2 153.9 103.9
4,001.7 160.3 240.1 1,331.4
3,328.0 2,405.4
2,127.0
1,732.3 57.7 79.2 153.9 103.9
6,452.7
4,469.5 192.0 289.1 1,502.1
3,902.4 2,550.3
2,330.6
1,891.4 69.1 95.4 164.6 110.0
4,469.5 192.0 289.1 1,502.1
3,902.4 2,550.3
2,330.6
1,891.4 69.1 95.4 164.6 110.0
14,025.9
10,659.4 739.6 606.0 2,021.0
8,828.1 5,197.8
6,268.5
5,256.7 274.8 186.5 316.3 234.3
10,659.4 739.6 606.0 2,021.0
8,828.1 5,197.8
6,268.5
5,256.7 274.8 186.5 316.3 234.3
17,015.1
12,699.1 735.9 729.4 2,850.7
10,892.9 6,122.3
6,984.1
5,836.4 258.2 221.6 425.2 242.7
12,699.1 735.9 729.4 2,850.7
10,892.9 6,122.3
6,984.1
5,836.4 258.2 221.6 425.2 242.7
20,007.6
14,714.2 702.4 828.2 3,762.9
12,590.7 7,416.8
7,772.3
6,414.3 251.0 291.4 533.3 282.3
14,714.2 702.4 828.2 3,762.9
12,590.7 7,416.8
7,772.3
6,414.3 251.0 291.4 533.3 282.3
21,600.3
15,461.5 646.0 914.7 4,578.1
12,934.2 8,666.1
8,137.4
6,678.3 223.2 305.8 540.9 389.2
15,461.5 646.0 914.7 4,578.1
12,934.2 8,666.1
8,137.4
6,678.3 223.2 305.8 540.9 389.2
23,306.6
16,226.5 648.5 1,018.1 5,413.4
13,740.5 9,566.0
8,664.7
7,058.6 233.5 340.9 618.7 413.1
16,226.5 648.5 1,018.1 5,413.4
13,740.5 9,566.0
8,664.7
7,058.6 233.5 340.9 618.7 413.1
3,113.2
61.1%
2,059.9 89.6 133.4 925.2
(94.9)
1,767.3
57.6%
1,345.9
66.4%
2,238.0
1,650.2 587.8
61.1%
2,059.9 89.6 133.4 925.2
(94.9)
1,767.3
57.6%
1,345.9
66.4%
2,238.0
1,650.2 587.8
3,323.6
62.6%
2,179.1 102.3 155.4 984.1
(97.2)
1,900.6
59.8%
1,423.0
66.7%
2,372.6
1,716.7 655.9
62.6%
2,179.1 102.3 155.4 984.1
(97.2)
1,900.6
59.8%
1,423.0
66.7%
2,372.6
1,716.7 655.9
3,287.5
62.3%
2,136.9 107.5 145.6 994.9
(97.3)
1,791.7
58.1%
1,495.9
68.2%
2,361.7
1,708.8 652.9
62.3%
2,136.9 107.5 145.6 994.9
(97.3)
1,791.7
58.1%
1,495.9
68.2%
2,361.7
1,708.8 652.9
3,738.5
63.2%
2,407.4 123.3 174.5 1,133.1
(99.8)
2,522.2
1,871.4 650.8
63.2%
2,407.4 123.3 174.5 1,133.1
(99.8)
2,522.2
1,871.4 650.8
3,349.9
61.7%
2,102.6 90.6 155.9 1,097.3
(96.5)
2,438.0
1,775.6 662.4
61.7%
2,102.6 90.6 155.9 1,097.3
(96.5)
2,438.0
1,775.6 662.4
3,563.5
62.6%
2,217.8 99.0 166.7 1,182.6
(102.7)
2,543.7
1,838.1 705.6
62.6%
2,217.8 99.0 166.7 1,182.6
(102.7)
2,543.7
1,838.1 705.6
3,606.4
62.9%
2,269.4 102.6 160.8 1,177.5
(103.9)
2,568.6
1,851.9 716.7
62.9%
2,269.4 102.6 160.8 1,177.5
(103.9)
2,568.6
1,851.9 716.7
4,122.1
63.9%
2,578.1 122.9 193.7 1,337.5
(110.0)
2,768.2
2,032.6 735.6
63.9%
2,578.1 122.9 193.7 1,337.5
(110.0)
2,768.2
2,032.6 735.6
Income from Operations (PTOP)
PTOP Margin
PTOP Margin
Total Interest Income (expense), net
Interest and Other Income
Interest Expenses
Other Non-Operating Income/ (Expenses)
Operating Income Before Taxes
GAAP Income Tax Provision Recurring Tax Provision
Effective Tax Rate
Minority Interest
Operating Net Income
Operating Net Income Margin
Add Interest on dilutive Convertible debt Numerator for Diluted EPS
Reported Income Before Taxes
GAAP Net Income
Non-GAAP Net Income
Fully-diluted EPS
EPS - GAAP (Adjusted)
EPS - Reported
EPS - excl. ESO and Amort. Of Intangibles
Period Ending Outstanding Shares Avg Shares (Basic)
Avg Shares (Fully Diluted)
Interest and Other Income
Interest Expenses
Other Non-Operating Income/ (Expenses)
Operating Income Before Taxes
GAAP Income Tax Provision Recurring Tax Provision
Effective Tax Rate
Minority Interest
Operating Net Income
Operating Net Income Margin
Add Interest on dilutive Convertible debt Numerator for Diluted EPS
Reported Income Before Taxes
GAAP Net Income
Non-GAAP Net Income
Fully-diluted EPS
EPS - GAAP (Adjusted)
EPS - Reported
EPS - excl. ESO and Amort. Of Intangibles
Period Ending Outstanding Shares Avg Shares (Basic)
Avg Shares (Fully Diluted)
875.2 951.0 925.8 1,216.4
17.2% 17.9% 17.5% 20.6%
17.2% 17.9% 17.5% 20.6%
(32.4)
29.5 18.2 (43.7)
842.8
190.9
197.0
23.4%
29.5 18.2 (43.7)
842.8
190.9
197.0
23.4%
(35.7)
26.0 18.5 (43.1)
915.4
214.3
229.3
25.0%
26.0 18.5 (43.1)
915.4
214.3
229.3
25.0%
(54.7)
29.9 21.5 (63.1)
871.2
185.4
188.0
21.6%
29.9 21.5 (63.1)
871.2
185.4
188.0
21.6%
(67.6)
29.0 21.4 (75.2)
1,148.7
229.7 232.5 20.2%
29.0 21.4 (75.2)
1,148.7
229.7 232.5 20.2%
911.9 1,019.7 1,037.8 1,353.9
16.8% 17.9% 18.1% 21.0%
16.8% 17.9% 18.1% 21.0%
(42.4)
29.2 22.0 (49.7)
869.5
173.9 179.3 20.6%
29.2 22.0 (49.7)
869.5
173.9 179.3 20.6%
(41.6)
31.7 22.0 (51.4)
978.1
195.6 201.0 20.6%
31.7 22.0 (51.4)
978.1
195.6 201.0 20.6%
(50.8)
34.7 19.8 (65.7)
987.0
197.4 202.8 20.5%
34.7 19.8 (65.7)
987.0
197.4 202.8 20.5%
(63.6)
37.7 19.8 (81.6)
1,290.3
258.1 263.5 20.4%
37.7 19.8 (81.6)
1,290.3
258.1 263.5 20.4%
1,591.8 2,767.7 3,606.1 3,968.4 4,323.4
11.3% 16.3% 18.0% 18.4% 18.6%
11.3% 16.3% 18.0% 18.4% 18.6%
39.1 40.2 32.7 38.7
606.7 645.8 650.5 877.6
11.9% 12.2% 12.3% 14.8%
----
11.9% 12.2% 12.3% 14.8%
----
586.8 649.5
777.8 863.8
586.8 649.5 818.0 866.7
$0.28 0.29 $0.27 0.29 $0.37 0.39
2,099.7 2,098.7 2,067.8 2,096.4 2,201.9 2,207.7
777.8 863.8
586.8 649.5 818.0 866.7
$0.28 0.29 $0.27 0.29 $0.37 0.39
2,099.7 2,098.7 2,067.8 2,096.4 2,201.9 2,207.7
626.3
811.8
626.3 881.3
$0.29 $0.28 $0.40
2,106.7 2,104.2 2,210.4
811.8
626.3 881.3
$0.29 $0.28 $0.40
2,106.7 2,104.2 2,210.4
853.3
1,083.0
853.3 1,121.9
$0.40 $0.39 $0.51
2,103.7 2,105.2 2,204.1
1,083.0
853.3 1,121.9
$0.40 $0.39 $0.51
2,103.7 2,105.2 2,204.1
40.8 43.8 44.4 48.3
(65.5)
140.4 182.5 (23.5)
1,526.2
252.8 233.1 15.3%
33.0
1,260.1
9.0%
140.4 182.5 (23.5)
1,526.2
252.8 233.1 15.3%
33.0
1,260.1
9.0%
(75.3)
142.5 178.3 (39.5)
2,692.4
638.3 565.7 21.0%
71.3
2,055.4
12.1%
142.5 178.3 (39.5)
2,692.4
638.3 565.7 21.0%
71.3
2,055.4
12.1%
(241.7)
129.2 170.5 (200.5)
3,364.4
640.4 646.8 19.2%
148.0
2,569.6
12.8%
129.2 170.5 (200.5)
3,364.4
640.4 646.8 19.2%
148.0
2,569.6
12.8%
(190.4)
114.2 79.6 (225.1)
3,778.0
820.3 846.6 22.4%
150.7
2,780.7
12.9%
114.2 79.6 (225.1)
3,778.0
820.3 846.6 22.4%
150.7
2,780.7
12.9%
(198.4)
133.4 83.4 (248.4)
4,125.0
825.0 846.6 20.5%
177.3
3,101.0
13.3%
133.4 83.4 (248.4)
4,125.0
825.0 846.6 20.5%
177.3
3,101.0
13.3%
649.4 733.3 739.8 978.5
12.0% 12.9% 12.9% 15.2%
----
12.0% 12.9% 12.9% 15.2%
----
627.8 711.6
801.7 907.2
627.8 711.6 884.8 972.4
$0.29 $0.33 $0.28 $0.32 $0.40 $0.44
2,101.9 2,100.2 2,102.8 2,101.1 2,204.3 2,203.7
801.7 907.2
627.8 711.6 884.8 972.4
$0.29 $0.33 $0.28 $0.32 $0.40 $0.44
2,101.9 2,100.2 2,102.8 2,101.1 2,204.3 2,203.7
718.1
915.5
718.1 980.2
$0.34 $0.33 $0.45
2,098.4 2,099.3 2,202.1
915.5
718.1 980.2
$0.34 $0.33 $0.45
2,098.4 2,099.3 2,202.1
956.9
1,214.9
956.9 1,225.5
$0.44 $0.43 $0.56
2,096.4 2,097.4 2,200.3
1,214.9
956.9 1,225.5
$0.44 $0.43 $0.56
2,096.4 2,097.4 2,200.3
1,088.1
1,495.3
1,088.1 1,858.4
$0.61 $0.53 $0.90
2,052.4
2,022.4 2,055.1
1,495.3
1,088.1 1,858.4
$0.61 $0.53 $0.90
2,052.4
2,022.4 2,055.1
1,900.0
2,690.7
1,900.0 2,715.4
$0.96 $0.88 $1.26
2,069.1
2,056.0 2,147.9
2,690.7
1,900.0 2,715.4
$0.96 $0.88 $1.26
2,069.1
2,056.0 2,147.9
2,461.3
3,101.7
2,461.3 3,380.5
$1.15 $1.10 $1.52
2,048.9
2,055.5 2,229.1
3,101.7
2,461.3 3,380.5
$1.15 $1.10 $1.52
2,048.9
2,055.5 2,229.1
2,716.0
3,536.3
2,716.0 3,689.6
$1.26 $1.23 $1.67
2,103.7 2,093.4 2,206.0
3,536.3
2,716.0 3,689.6
$1.26 $1.23 $1.67
2,103.7 2,093.4 2,206.0
3,014.4
3,839.4
3,014.4 4,080.1
$1.41 $1.37 $1.85
2,096.4 2,100.2 2,202.6
3,839.4
3,014.4 4,080.1
$1.41 $1.37 $1.85
2,096.4 2,100.2 2,202.6
-----
7,757.4
55.3%
5,402.7 464.8 419.5 1,704.7
(234.3)
6,165.6
4,538.1 1,627.5
55.3%
5,402.7 464.8 419.5 1,704.7
(234.3)
6,165.6
4,538.1 1,627.5
10,031.0
59.0%
6,862.7 477.7 507.8 2,425.5
(242.7)
7,263.3
5,375.3 1,888.0
59.0%
6,862.7 477.7 507.8 2,425.5
(242.7)
7,263.3
5,375.3 1,888.0
12,235.2
61.2%
8,299.9 451.4 536.8 3,229.5
(282.3)
8,629.2
6,479.4 2,149.8
61.2%
8,299.9 451.4 536.8 3,229.5
(282.3)
8,629.2
6,479.4 2,149.8
13,462.9
62.3%
8,783.2 422.8 608.9 4,037.3
(389.2)
62.3%
8,783.2 422.8 608.9 4,037.3
(389.2)
14,641.9
62.8%
9,167.9 415.1 677.2 4,794.8
(413.1)
62.8%
9,167.9 415.1 677.2 4,794.8
(413.1)
9,494.5 10,318.5
6,947.0 7,498.1 2,547.5 2,820.4
6,947.0 7,498.1 2,547.5 2,820.4
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
6
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Exhibit 7
EMC Income Statement Analysis
EMC Income Statement Analysis
($ in millions)
Security
VMware
Security
VMware
Operating Expenses
PTOP Margin
Net Income
ModelWare EPS
Security
VMware
Net Income
ModelWare EPS
61.1% 62.6%
55.8% 57.1% 61.6% 67.0% 64.6% 70.4% 87.8% 87.8%
57.6% 59.8% 66.4% 66.7%
32.4% 32.3% 11.5% 12.3% 43.9% 44.7% 30.0% 30.2% 17.2% 17.9% 16.5% 17.2% 11.9% 12.2%
63.0% 64.4% 23.2% 24.0%
56.5% 58.1% 20.8% 22.1%
87.8% 87.8% 32.5% 31.2%
100.0% 100.0%
72.4% 71.9% 2.9% 2.9% 4.1% 4.2%
20.7% 21.1%
55.8% 57.1% 61.6% 67.0% 64.6% 70.4% 87.8% 87.8%
57.6% 59.8% 66.4% 66.7%
32.4% 32.3% 11.5% 12.3% 43.9% 44.7% 30.0% 30.2% 17.2% 17.9% 16.5% 17.2% 11.9% 12.2%
63.0% 64.4% 23.2% 24.0%
56.5% 58.1% 20.8% 22.1%
87.8% 87.8% 32.5% 31.2%
100.0% 100.0%
72.4% 71.9% 2.9% 2.9% 4.1% 4.2%
20.7% 21.1%
62.3% 63.2%
56.8% 57.4% 68.1% 65.0% 64.2% 67.0% 88.0% 89.0%
58.1% 68.2%
32.4% 31.6% 12.4% 11.0% 44.7% 42.6% 27.4% 31.0% 17.5% 20.6% 16.5% 19.4% 12.3% 14.8%
64.1% 64.9% 24.3% 26.7%
57.6% 58.2% 22.2% 25.2%
88.0% 89.0% 31.9% 32.0%
100.0% 100.0%
71.3% 70.9% 3.0% 3.2% 4.3% 4.4%
21.4% 21.5%
56.8% 57.4% 68.1% 65.0% 64.2% 67.0% 88.0% 89.0%
58.1% 68.2%
32.4% 31.6% 12.4% 11.0% 44.7% 42.6% 27.4% 31.0% 17.5% 20.6% 16.5% 19.4% 12.3% 14.8%
64.1% 64.9% 24.3% 26.7%
57.6% 58.2% 22.2% 25.2%
88.0% 89.0% 31.9% 32.0%
100.0% 100.0%
71.3% 70.9% 3.0% 3.2% 4.3% 4.4%
21.4% 21.5%
10.6% 9.6%
7.5% 7.3% -9.2% -9.8%
7.5% 7.3% -9.2% -9.8%
6.0% 6.1%
3.0% 3.0% -7.8% -5.7%
3.0% 3.0% -7.8% -5.7%
2012E
18.5% 12.6% 5.6% 7.2%
25.0% 21.7% 20.2% 20.3%
15.3%
10.8% -9.4% 41.4% 29.3%
10.3% 17.1% 12.0% 24.8% 29.4% 22.1% 25.2%
10.8% -9.4% 41.4% 29.3%
10.3% 17.1% 12.0% 24.8% 29.4% 22.1% 25.2%
12.8%
9.7% -3.8% 15.8% 24.8%
8.9% 21.7% 12.2% 14.3% 13.9%
9.0% 11.9%
9.7% -3.8% 15.8% 24.8%
8.9% 21.7% 12.2% 14.3% 13.9%
9.0% 11.9%
7.2% 6.1%
3.1% 1.1% -0.8% -10.4% 0.3% 7.0% 22.8% 23.8%
5.9% 4.3% 19.1% 16.1% 9.3% 7.1% 2.3% 4.2% 4.5% 6.7% 4.4% 2.4% 4.2% 1.4%
3.1% 1.1% -0.8% -10.4% 0.3% 7.0% 22.8% 23.8%
5.9% 4.3% 19.1% 16.1% 9.3% 7.1% 2.3% 4.2% 4.5% 6.7% 4.4% 2.4% 4.2% 1.4%
-8.6% 4.3% -0.6% 12.1%
-9.4% 3.5% -1.4% 11.4%
-27.7% 5.0% 3.4% 20.1%
-15.0% 6.9% 2.8% 14.8%
-0.5% 6.4% 0.9% 12.7%
-11.6% 6.8%
-13.5% 5.8%
-34.8% 14.2%
-18.2% 16.5%
1.0% 6.4%
-8.1% 4.0% 4.8% 11.6% -5.0% 6.0% -25.1% 8.7% -21.7% 8.6% -29.2% 6.5% -29.8% 6.2%
72.4% 71.9% 2.9% 2.9%
1.0% 6.4%
-8.1% 4.0% 4.8% 11.6% -5.0% 6.0% -25.1% 8.7% -21.7% 8.6% -29.2% 6.5% -29.8% 6.2%
72.4% 71.9% 2.9% 2.9%
-1.1%
-1.9% 5.1% -6.3% 1.1%
-0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -2.6% -4.8% 0.7% 0.6%
71.3% 3.0%
-1.9% 5.1% -6.3% 1.1%
-0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -2.6% -4.8% 0.7% 0.6%
71.3% 3.0%
13.7%
12.7% 14.7% 19.8% 13.9%
9.5% -0.3% 6.8% 31.4% 31.9% 34.9% 35.3%
70.9% 3.2%
12.7% 14.7% 19.8% 13.9%
9.5% -0.3% 6.8% 31.4% 31.9% 34.9% 35.3%
70.9% 3.2%
4.1% 4.2% 4.3% 4.4%
20.7% 21.1% 21.4% 21.5%
61.7% 62.6%
55.2% 56.2% 64.0% 64.0% 66.0% 66.0% 88.2% 88.5%
32.7% 32.3%
12.2% 12.4% 44.9% 44.7% 28.6% 31.3% 16.8% 17.9% 16.0% 17.2% 12.0% 12.9%
63.5% 64.4% 23.3% 24.2%
56.2% 56.9% 20.4% 21.6%
88.2% 88.5% 33.0% 32.6%
100.0% 100.0%
70.1% 69.4% 2.6% 2.7% 4.4% 4.4%
22.9% 23.5%
55.2% 56.2% 64.0% 64.0% 66.0% 66.0% 88.2% 88.5%
32.7% 32.3%
12.2% 12.4% 44.9% 44.7% 28.6% 31.3% 16.8% 17.9% 16.0% 17.2% 12.0% 12.9%
63.5% 64.4% 23.3% 24.2%
56.2% 56.9% 20.4% 21.6%
88.2% 88.5% 33.0% 32.6%
100.0% 100.0%
70.1% 69.4% 2.6% 2.7% 4.4% 4.4%
22.9% 23.5%
62.9% 63.9%
56.7% 57.7% 64.0% 64.0% 67.0% 67.0% 88.4% 89.0%
32.3% 31.5%
12.5% 11.4% 44.8% 42.9% 34.1% 37.4% 18.1% 21.0% 17.2% 20.0% 12.9% 15.2%
64.7% 65.6% 24.4% 26.7%
57.4% 58.3% 21.9% 25.0%
88.4% 89.0% 32.7% 32.1%
100.0% 100.0%
69.8% 69.3% 2.8% 3.0% 4.2% 4.5%
23.2% 23.3%
56.7% 57.7% 64.0% 64.0% 67.0% 67.0% 88.4% 89.0%
32.3% 31.5%
12.5% 11.4% 44.8% 42.9% 34.1% 37.4% 18.1% 21.0% 17.2% 20.0% 12.9% 15.2%
64.7% 65.6% 24.4% 26.7%
57.4% 58.3% 21.9% 25.0%
88.4% 89.0% 32.7% 32.1%
100.0% 100.0%
69.8% 69.3% 2.8% 3.0% 4.2% 4.5%
23.2% 23.3%
2013E
Fiscal Year
Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13
2009A 2010A 2011A 2012E 2013E
Margin Analysis
Gross Margin (GAAP)
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
Product Services
SG&A
Research and Development Operating Expenses EBITDA Margin
PTOP Margin
Pretax Margin
Net Income
Consolidated EMC Non-GAAP Gross Margin Non-GAAP PTOP Margin
Information Infrastructure Non-GAAP Gross Margin Non-GAAP PTOP Margin
VWM
Non-GAAP Gross Margin Non-GAAP PTOP Margin
Revenue
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
Year-Over-Year Growth (%)
Revenue
Storage
Content Management & Archiving
Gross Margin
Storage
Content Management & Archiving
SG&A
Research and Development
Pretax Margin
Sequential Growth (%)
Revenue
Storage
Content Management & Archiving
Gross Margin
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
SG&A
Research and Development Operating Expenses
PTOP Margin
Pretax Margin
Revenue Mix
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
Gross Margin (GAAP)
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
Product Services
SG&A
Research and Development Operating Expenses EBITDA Margin
PTOP Margin
Pretax Margin
Net Income
Consolidated EMC Non-GAAP Gross Margin Non-GAAP PTOP Margin
Information Infrastructure Non-GAAP Gross Margin Non-GAAP PTOP Margin
VWM
Non-GAAP Gross Margin Non-GAAP PTOP Margin
Revenue
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
Year-Over-Year Growth (%)
Revenue
Storage
Content Management & Archiving
Gross Margin
Storage
Content Management & Archiving
SG&A
Research and Development
Pretax Margin
Sequential Growth (%)
Revenue
Storage
Content Management & Archiving
Gross Margin
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
SG&A
Research and Development Operating Expenses
PTOP Margin
Pretax Margin
Revenue Mix
Storage
Content Management & Archiving Security
VMware
Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
6.6% 7.1%
3.2% 3.4% -2.7% 1.3%
3.2% 3.4% -2.7% 1.3%
8.6% 9.1%
6.3% 6.6% 1.4% 1.2%
6.3% 6.6% 1.4% 1.2%
14.4% 14.4% 5.8% 11.0%
18.1% 19.2% 17.8% 17.9%
7.6% 7.2%
2.1% 1.8%
1.1% -3.3% 16.9% 7.3% 18.6% 20.2%
7.6% 7.1%
12.7% 7.6% 8.9% 7.2% 4.2% 7.2% 3.2% 6.9% 7.0% 13.5% 6.9% 13.7%
2.1% 1.8%
1.1% -3.3% 16.9% 7.3% 18.6% 20.2%
7.6% 7.1%
12.7% 7.6% 8.9% 7.2% 4.2% 7.2% 3.2% 6.9% 7.0% 13.5% 6.9% 13.7%
9.7%
6.2% -4.6% 10.5% 18.4%
8.4%
9.8%
8.8% 12.1% 13.3% 13.7% 14.2%
6.2% -4.6% 10.5% 18.4%
8.4%
9.8%
8.8% 12.1% 13.3% 13.7% 14.2%
10.3%
7.1% -0.4% 11.0% 18.0%
8.6%
13.0% 9.8% 11.3% 12.3% 11.5% 11.7%
7.1% -0.4% 11.0% 18.0%
8.6%
13.0% 9.8% 11.3% 12.3% 11.5% 11.7%
-8.2% 4.8% 0.8% 12.5%
-9.2% 3.7% 1.4% 11.7%
-25.4% 9.2% 3.6% 19.8%
-9.3% 6.9% -5.0% 20.4%
-2.3% 7.4% -0.4% 12.8%
-10.4%
-12.7% -26.5% -10.6%
-3.2%
-5.1% 1.8% -3.3% -25.0% -24.3% -26.0% -26.0%
70.1% 2.6%
-12.7% -26.5% -10.6%
-3.2%
-5.1% 1.8% -3.3% -25.0% -24.3% -26.0% -26.0%
70.1% 2.6%
6.4% 1.2%
5.5% 2.3% 9.2% 3.6% 6.9% -3.5% 7.8% -0.4%
3.5% 0.8%
6.5% 1.6%
4.3% 1.0% 11.8% 1.8% 12.5% 0.9% 12.9% 0.9% 12.9% 1.0%
69.4% 69.8% 2.7% 2.8%
5.5% 2.3% 9.2% 3.6% 6.9% -3.5% 7.8% -0.4%
3.5% 0.8%
6.5% 1.6%
4.3% 1.0% 11.8% 1.8% 12.5% 0.9% 12.9% 0.9% 12.9% 1.0%
69.4% 69.8% 2.7% 2.8%
14.3%
13.6% 19.8% 20.4% 13.6%
9.8%
2.6%
7.8% 30.4% 30.7% 32.3% 32.4%
69.3% 3.0%
13.6% 19.8% 20.4% 13.6%
9.8%
2.6%
7.8% 30.4% 30.7% 32.3% 32.4%
69.3% 3.0%
4.4% 4.4% 4.2% 4.5%
22.9% 23.5% 23.2% 23.3%
55.3% 59.0%
50.7% 54.0% 62.8% 64.9% 69.2% 69.6% 84.4% 85.1%
32.4% 31.6% 11.6% 11.1% 44.0% 42.7% 19.0% 23.1% 11.3% 16.3% 10.9% 15.8%
9.0% 12.1%
57.0% 60.4% 17.4% 22.0%
52.3% 55.4% 16.3% 20.9%
84.4% 85.1% 24.3% 27.5%
100.0% 100.0%
76.0% 74.6% 5.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3%
14.4% 16.8%
50.7% 54.0% 62.8% 64.9% 69.2% 69.6% 84.4% 85.1%
32.4% 31.6% 11.6% 11.1% 44.0% 42.7% 19.0% 23.1% 11.3% 16.3% 10.9% 15.8%
9.0% 12.1%
57.0% 60.4% 17.4% 22.0%
52.3% 55.4% 16.3% 20.9%
84.4% 85.1% 24.3% 27.5%
100.0% 100.0%
76.0% 74.6% 5.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3%
14.4% 16.8%
61.2% 62.3%
56.4% 56.8% 64.3% 65.4% 64.8% 66.6% 85.8% 88.2%
32.4% 32.2% 10.7% 11.8% 43.1% 44.0% 25.1% 25.3% 18.0% 18.4% 16.8% 17.5% 12.8% 12.9%
62.6% 64.1% 23.9% 24.6%
57.2% 57.6% 22.3% 22.7%
85.8% 88.2% 30.8% 31.9%
100.0% 100.0%
73.5% 71.6% 3.5% 3.0% 4.1% 4.2%
18.8% 21.2%
56.4% 56.8% 64.3% 65.4% 64.8% 66.6% 85.8% 88.2%
32.4% 32.2% 10.7% 11.8% 43.1% 44.0% 25.1% 25.3% 18.0% 18.4% 16.8% 17.5% 12.8% 12.9%
62.6% 64.1% 23.9% 24.6%
57.2% 57.6% 22.3% 22.7%
85.8% 88.2% 30.8% 31.9%
100.0% 100.0%
73.5% 71.6% 3.5% 3.0% 4.1% 4.2%
18.8% 21.2%
62.8%
56.5% 64.0% 66.5% 88.6%
32.2% 12.1% 44.3% 25.3% 18.6% 17.7% 13.3%
64.6% 24.7%
57.2% 22.3%
88.6% 32.6%
100.0%
69.6% 2.8% 4.4%
23.2%
56.5% 64.0% 66.5% 88.6%
32.2% 12.1% 44.3% 25.3% 18.6% 17.7% 13.3%
64.6% 24.7%
57.2% 22.3%
88.6% 32.6%
100.0%
69.6% 2.8% 4.4%
23.2%
-5.7%
-8.4% -5.9%
-8.4% -5.9%
21.3%
19.1% -0.5%
19.1% -0.5%
17.6%
15.9% -4.6%
15.9% -4.6%
8.0% 7.9%
5.1% 4.9% -8.0% 0.4%
5.1% 4.9% -8.0% 0.4%
4.2% 20.4% 13.5% 10.4% 11.3%
7.7% 41.1% 32.0% 21.7% 18.2%
-5.7% 29.3%
-9.4% 27.0% -3.2% 2.8% 2.1% 21.0% 6.0% 42.3%
-1.4% 18.4% -5.5% 16.0% -2.5% 17.8%
-16.2% 73.9% -21.2% 76.4% -18.2% 63.1% -17.2% 56.1%
-9.4% 27.0% -3.2% 2.8% 2.1% 21.0% 6.0% 42.3%
-1.4% 18.4% -5.5% 16.0% -2.5% 17.8%
-16.2% 73.9% -21.2% 76.4% -18.2% 63.1% -17.2% 56.1%
22.0%
20.9% -5.5% 5.7% 33.1%
20.5% 13.9% 18.8% 30.3% 25.0% 25.0% 20.5%
20.9% -5.5% 5.7% 33.1%
20.5% 13.9% 18.8% 30.3% 25.0% 25.0% 20.5%
10.0% 8.8%
5.8% 4.4% -6.3% -1.8% 13.4% 11.2% 25.0% 18.8%
7.2% 7.9% 18.5% 10.7% 10.0% 8.7% 10.0% 8.9% 12.3% 9.2%
8.2% 11.5% 9.3% 11.7%
5.8% 4.4% -6.3% -1.8% 13.4% 11.2% 25.0% 18.8%
7.2% 7.9% 18.5% 10.7% 10.0% 8.7% 10.0% 8.9% 12.3% 9.2%
8.2% 11.5% 9.3% 11.7%
76.0% 74.6% 73.5% 71.6% 69.6%
5.3% 4.3% 3.5% 3.0% 2.8%
4.3% 4.3% 4.1% 4.2% 4.4%
14.4% 16.8% 18.8% 21.2% 23.2%
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
7
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Exhibit 8
EMC Balance Sheet
EMC Balance Sheet
($ in millions)
2012E
2013E
Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13
2009A 2010A 2011A 2012E 2013E
Current Assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
Short-term investments
Accounts and notes receivable, less allowance for doubtful Inventories
Deferred income taxes
Other current assets
Total Current Assets
Long-term investments
Property, plant and equipment, gross Less: Accumulated depreciation Property, plant and equipment, net Intangible and other assets, net Goodwill, net
Deferred income taxes
Total Assets
Liabilities
Current Liabilities:
Notes payable and current portion of long-term obligation Accounts payable
Accrued expenses
Income taxes payable
Deferred revenue
Total Current Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Deferred revenue
Deferred income taxes Long-term obligations:
Other liabilities
Total Long Term Liabilities
Minority interest
Stockholder's Equity:
Common shares, par value $.01 Additional paid-in capital Deferred compensation Retained earnings
Accumulated other comprehensive loss, net Treasury stock, at cost
Total Stockholder's Equity
Total Liabilities and Stockholder's Equity
Cash and cash equivalents
Short-term investments
Accounts and notes receivable, less allowance for doubtful Inventories
Deferred income taxes
Other current assets
Total Current Assets
Long-term investments
Property, plant and equipment, gross Less: Accumulated depreciation Property, plant and equipment, net Intangible and other assets, net Goodwill, net
Deferred income taxes
Total Assets
Liabilities
Current Liabilities:
Notes payable and current portion of long-term obligation Accounts payable
Accrued expenses
Income taxes payable
Deferred revenue
Total Current Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Deferred revenue
Deferred income taxes Long-term obligations:
Other liabilities
Total Long Term Liabilities
Minority interest
Stockholder's Equity:
Common shares, par value $.01 Additional paid-in capital Deferred compensation Retained earnings
Accumulated other comprehensive loss, net Treasury stock, at cost
Total Stockholder's Equity
Total Liabilities and Stockholder's Equity
4,671
1,668
2,662
1,034
750
515
11,300
4,540
7,069
(4,190)
2,879
1,714 12,217 1,336 33,985
1,621 923 2,246 24 4,073 8,887
2,723 839 104 297 3,963 1,080
21 3,513
750
515
11,300
4,540
7,069
(4,190)
2,879
1,714 12,217 1,336 33,985
1,621 923 2,246 24 4,073 8,887
2,723 839 104 297 3,963 1,080
21 3,513
3,993
1,660
2,974
1,029
792
486
10,935
5,253
7,241
(4,299)
2,942
1,758 12,655 1,416 34,959
1,622 880 2,321 188 4,183 9,193
2,875 467 89 296 3,726 1,102
21 3,763
792
486
10,935
5,253
7,241
(4,299)
2,942
1,758 12,655 1,416 34,959
1,622 880 2,321 188 4,183 9,193
2,875 467 89 296 3,726 1,102
21 3,763
4,161
1,285
3,164
1,158
802
541
11,111
5,134
7,437
(4,454)
2,983
2,053 13,728 1,495 36,506
1,637 1,074 2,318
287 4,353 9,669
2,884 717 73 307 3,982 1,152
21 3,855
802
541
11,111
5,134
7,437
(4,454)
2,983
2,053 13,728 1,495 36,506
1,637 1,074 2,318
287 4,353 9,669
2,884 717 73 307 3,982 1,152
21 3,855
5,276
1,285
3,344
1,113
802
544
12,364
5,134 8,562 (4,707) 3,855 1,190 13,728 1,495 37,766
1,637 1,065 2,388
331 4,094 9,515
3,313 717 119 307 4,457 1,190
21 4,178
802
544
12,364
5,134 8,562 (4,707) 3,855 1,190 13,728 1,495 37,766
1,637 1,065 2,388
331 4,094 9,515
3,313 717 119 307 4,457 1,190
21 4,178
6,270
1,285
3,043
1,120
802
521
13,042
5,134 8,779 (4,968) 3,811 1,177 13,728 1,495 38,387
1,637 1,006 2,259
278 4,235 9,415
3,258 717 119 307 4,401 1,231
21 4,493
802
521
13,042
5,134 8,779 (4,968) 3,811 1,177 13,728 1,495 38,387
1,637 1,006 2,259
278 4,235 9,415
3,258 717 119 307 4,401 1,231
21 4,493
7,448
1,285
3,127
1,169
802
546
14,377
5,134 9,007 (5,244) 3,763 1,170 13,728 1,495 39,667
1,637 1,075 2,335
300 4,325 9,672
3,414 717 119 307 4,558 1,275
21 4,816
802
546
14,377
5,134 9,007 (5,244) 3,763 1,170 13,728 1,495 39,667
1,637 1,075 2,335
300 4,325 9,672
3,414 717 119 307 4,558 1,275
21 4,816
8,680
1,285
2,991
1,087
802
550
15,395
5,134 9,236 (5,529) 3,707 1,161 13,728 1,495 40,620
1,637 1,087 2,348
302 4,357 9,730
3,440 717 119 307 4,584 1,319
21 5,143
802
550
15,395
5,134 9,236 (5,529) 3,707 1,161 13,728 1,495 40,620
1,637 1,087 2,348
302 4,357 9,730
3,440 717 119 307 4,584 1,319
21 5,143
9,991
1,285
3,296
1,191
802
619
17,185
5,134 9,494 (5,823) 3,671 1,157 13,728 1,495 42,370
1,637 1,191 2,488
362 4,388 10,066
3,743 717 119 307 4,886 1,368
21 5,475
802
619
17,185
5,134 9,494 (5,823) 3,671 1,157 13,728 1,495 42,370
1,637 1,191 2,488
362 4,388 10,066
3,743 717 119 307 4,886 1,368
21 5,475
6,302
393
2,109
886
559
284
10,533
2,692 5,318 (3,093) 2,224 1,186 9,210 961 26,807
2,692 5,318 (3,093) 2,224 1,186 9,210 961 26,807
4,119
1,256
2,570
856 610 372
9,783
4,116 6,072 (3,543) 2,528 1,624 11,773 1,009 30,833
856 610 372
9,783
4,116 6,072 (3,543) 2,528 1,624 11,773 1,009 30,833
4,531
1,787
2,937
1,010
733
584
11,583
4,525 6,873 (4,040) 2,833 1,766 12,155 1,406 34,268
733
584
11,583
4,525 6,873 (4,040) 2,833 1,766 12,155 1,406 34,268
5,276
1,285
3,344
1,113
802
544
12,364
5,134 8,562 (4,707) 3,855 1,190 13,728 1,495 37,766
802
544
12,364
5,134 8,562 (4,707) 3,855 1,190 13,728 1,495 37,766
9,991
1,285
3,296
1,191
802
619
17,185
5,134 9,494 (5,823) 3,671 1,157 13,728 1,495 42,370
802
619
17,185
5,134 9,494 (5,823) 3,671 1,157 13,728 1,495 42,370
----
16,707 17,357 17,983 18,837
(186) (203) (155) (155)
- - - (276) 20,055 20,937 21,704 22,604 33,985 34,959 36,505.718 37,766
- - - (276) 20,055 20,937 21,704 22,604 33,985 34,959 36,505.718 37,766
----
19,464
(155)
(483)
23,340 38,387
23,340 38,387
20,176
(155)
(696)
24,162 39,667
24,162 39,667
20,894
(155)
(915)
24,987 40,620
24,987 40,620
21,851
(155)
(1,140)
26,051 42,370
26,051 42,370
-
899
1,887 58 2,263 5,107
1,374 944 3,100 185 5,603 511
21 3,875
1,887 58 2,263 5,107
1,374 944 3,100 185 5,603 511
21 3,875
3,215
1,063
2,090
200 2,811 9,378
1,853 983 235 217 3,288 763
21 3,817
200 2,811 9,378
1,853 983 235 217 3,288 763
21 3,817
3,305
1,102
2,355
156 3,459 10,376
2,715 842 119 288 3,965 968
20 3,053
156 3,459 10,376
2,715 842 119 288 3,965 968
20 3,053
1,637
1,065
2,388
331 4,094 9,515
3,313 717 119 307 4,457 1,190
21 4,178
331 4,094 9,515
3,313 717 119 307 4,457 1,190
21 4,178
1,637
1,191
2,488
362 4,388 10,066
3,743 717 119 307 4,886 1,368
21 5,475
362 4,388 10,066
3,743 717 119 307 4,886 1,368
21 5,475
-----
11,795
(105)
-
15,586 26,807
-
15,586 26,807
13,659
(93)
-
17,404 30,833
-
17,404 30,833
16,121
(235)
-
18,959 34,268
-
18,959 34,268
18,837
(155)
(276)
22,604 37,766
22,604 37,766
21,851
(155)
(1,140)
26,051 42,370
26,051 42,370
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
8
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Exhibit 9
EMC Cash Flow Statement
EMC Cash Flow Statement
($ in millions)
|
2012E
|
2013E
|
||
Cash Flow Statement (Non Cumulative)
|
Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12
|
Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13
|
2009A 2010A 2011A 2012E 2013E
|
|
1,158 1,970 2,609 2,827 3,014
1,073 1,168 1,422 1,500 1,584
25 7 (1) 9 -
-----
108 106 103 34 -
-----
14 19 20 21 -
32 (50) (19) (73) -
-----
601 668 823 915 1,014 (46) (282) (362) (212) - - - - 39 177
(40) (21)
241 (406) (158) (114) 4 (54) 140 154 (138) 4 (75) 456 366 957 29 (32) 3,334 4,549 (412) (745) -----
(305)
(5,410)
5,171
(363)
(6,322)
3,625
(442)
(7,180)
5,121
5
(392) (393) (62) 35 158 337 1,509 (121) 5,669
(20) -
(387) 48 (291) (78) 60 (75) 110 125 (156) 101 417 31 1,228 723 (0) - 6,021 6,664
(801)
(754) (932)
(420) (435)
(5,012) -
4,154 -
844 -
-----
-----
705
- - (300)
(2,664)
(182)
(3,095)
366 228
(3,195) (537)
86 (534)
(6,476) (3,544)
781 673 431 338 (1,000) (2,000)
- -
(1,878) -
(199) -
(3,265) (1,367) 456 283 214 -
437
1,130
-
-----
- - (141) (1,700) -
(387) 282 (27) (15) -
5-34-
- (738) (565) (297)
212 (244) (1,719) (1,993) 8 (12) 5 (18) 459 (2,183) 412 745 5,844 6,302 4,119 4,531
-
(581) - 4,715 5,276
-----
6,302 4,119 4,531 5,276 9,991
(656)
(864)
|
||||
Operating activities:
Net income (loss) Depreciation and amortization Non-cash restructuring, inventory and other special ch Other than temporary declines in equity investments Net gain on investments, including gain on sale of VM Amortization of deferred compensation Provision for doubtful accounts Deferred income taxes, net Net loss on disposal of property, plant and equipment Stock based compensation expense Tax benefit from stock options exercised Minority interest Others Changes in Operating Assets and Liabilities: Accounts and notes receivable Inventories Other assets Accounts payable Accrued expenses Income taxes payable Deferred revenue Other liabilities Net cash provided by operating activities Investing activities: Additions to property, plant and equipment Proceeds from sales of property, plant and equipment Capitalized software development costs Purchases of short and long-term available for sale secu Sales of short and long-term available for sale securities Maturities of short and long-term available for sale secur Purchases of short and long-term held-to-maturity secur Maturity of short and long-term held-to-maturity securitie Purchase of other assets Business acquisitions, net of cash acquired Others Net cash used in investing activities Financing activities: Issuance of common stock Issuance of subsidiary stock Purchase of treasury stock Cash portion of McData Corporation spinoff dividend Redemption of convertible subordinated notes Payment of long-term and short-term obligations Issuance of long-term and short-term obligations VMware spinoff proceeds Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities |
626 689 659 853
367 375 385 372
432-
---- 9 11 14 - ---- 9 15 (3) - (52) (64) 44 - ---- 201 223 235 256 (106) (49) (57) - - - - 39
(9)
(168) 620 25 1,688
(29) 18
-
300
(96)
(20)
(29)
(180)
46
(3)
(106)
(1,586)
1,439
(101)
(2,004)
1,016
(324) (184)
(76) (164) 48 35 (41) 189 10 (68) 6 208 159 44
260 179 170
(22) (3) -
1,237 1,438 1,658
(154)
----
(179) (191)
(1,421) -
1,698 -
262 -
----
----
----
(102) (522) (1,254) -
15 (84) (130) -
274
(219) (1,565) (1,146)
309
180 119 88 68
111 34 70 -
- (260) (120) (276) ---- (1,700) - - (0) (14)
-
(0) -
311-
66 (209)
(1,340) (329) 11 (21) 140 (678) 4,531 4,671
(154) -
(116) (209)
----
4,671 3,993 4,161 5,276
(231)
(109) (104)
(8)
168
3,993
-
1,115 4,161
(9)
70
(335)
|
628 712 718 957
379 392 402 411
---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 245 251 255 262 ---- 41 44 44 48 ----
301
(7)
23 (60) (129)
(84) 135 (305)
(49) 82 (104)
(25) (4) (69)
70 11 104
77 12 140
(53) 22 2 61
86 246 58 333
---- 1,453 1,655 1,717 1,838 (217) (228) (229) (258) ---- (104) (109) (108) (114) ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- (321) (337) (337) (372) 70 72 72 70 ---- (207) (213) (219) (225) ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- (137) (141) (147) (155) ---- 994 1,177 1,232 1,311 5,276 6,270 7,448 8,680 ---- 6,270 7,448 8,680 9,991 |
||
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalent |
||||
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the year
Adjustment for Restatement
Cash and cash equivalents at end of year |
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
9
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Morgan Stanley ModelWare is a proprietary analytic framework that helps clients
uncover value, adjusting for distortions and ambiguities created by local accounting
regulations. For example, ModelWare EPS adjusts for one-time events, capitalizes operating
leases (where their use is significant), and converts inventory from LIFO costing to a FIFO
basis. ModelWare also emphasizes the separation of operating performance of a company
from its financing for a more complete view of how a company generates earnings.
Disclosure Section
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The following analysts hereby certify that their views about the companies and their securities discussed in this report are accurately expressed and that they have not received and will not receive direct or indirect compensation in exchange for expressing specific recommendations or views in this report: Katy Huberty.
Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are research analysts.
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Important US Regulatory Disclosures on Subject Companies
As of December 31, 2012, Morgan Stanley beneficially owned 1% or more of a class of common equity securities of the following companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research: Accenture Plc, Apple, Inc., Brocade Communications Systems, DELL, EMC Corp., Fusion-io, Inc., Lexmark International.
Within the last 12 months, Morgan Stanley managed or co-managed a public offering (or 144A offering) of securities of IBM, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc. Within the last 12 months, Morgan Stanley has received compensation for investment banking services from Accenture Plc, Brocade Communications Systems, DELL, EMC Corp., Hewlett-Packard, IBM, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc, SMART Technologies, Teradata.
In the next 3 months, Morgan Stanley expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from Accenture Plc, Apple, Inc., Brocade Communications Systems, Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp, DELL, EMC Corp., Fusion-io, Inc., Hewlett-Packard, IBM, Lexmark International, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc, QLogic Corporation, SMART Technologies, Teradata.
Within the last 12 months, Morgan Stanley has received compensation for products and services other than investment banking services from Accenture Plc, Apple, Inc., Brocade Communications Systems, DELL, EMC Corp., Hewlett-Packard, IBM, Lexmark International, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc, Seagate Technology, SMART Technologies.
Within the last 12 months, Morgan Stanley has provided or is providing investment banking services to, or has an investment banking client relationship with, the following company: Accenture Plc, Apple, Inc., Brocade Communications Systems, Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp, DELL, EMC Corp., Fusion-io, Inc., Hewlett-Packard, IBM, Lexmark International, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc, QLogic Corporation, SMART Technologies, Teradata.
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An employee, director or consultant of Morgan Stanley is a director of IBM. This person is not a research analyst or a member of a research analyst's household.
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The equity research analysts or strategists principally responsible for the preparation of Morgan Stanley Research have received compensation based upon various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors, firm revenues and overall investment banking revenues.
Morgan Stanley and its affiliates do business that relates to companies/instruments covered in Morgan Stanley Research, including market making, providing liquidity and specialized trading, risk arbitrage and other proprietary trading, fund management, commercial banking, extension of credit, investment services and investment banking. Morgan Stanley sells to and buys from customers the securities/instruments of companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research on a principal basis. Morgan Stanley may have a position in the debt of the Company or instruments discussed in this report. Certain disclosures listed above are also for compliance with applicable regulations in non-US jurisdictions.
STOCK RATINGS
Morgan Stanley uses a relative rating system using terms such as Overweight, Equal-weight, Not-Rated or Underweight (see definitions below). Morgan Stanley does not assign ratings of Buy, Hold or Sell to the stocks we cover. Overweight, Equal-weight, Not-Rated and Underweight are not the equivalent of buy, hold and sell. Investors should carefully read the definitions of all ratings used in Morgan Stanley Research. In addition, since Morgan Stanley Research contains more complete information concerning the analyst's views, investors should carefully read Morgan Stanley Research, in its entirety, and not infer the contents from the rating alone. In any case, ratings (or research) should not be used or relied upon as investment advice. An investor's decision to buy or sell a stock should depend on individual circumstances (such as the investor's existing holdings) and other considerations.
Global Stock Ratings Distribution
(as of December 31, 2012)
For disclosure purposes only (in accordance with NASD and NYSE requirements), we include the category headings of Buy, Hold, and Sell alongside our ratings of Overweight, Equal-weight, Not-Rated and Underweight. Morgan Stanley does not assign ratings of Buy, Hold or Sell to the stocks we cover. Overweight, Equal-weight, Not-Rated and Underweight are not the equivalent of buy, hold, and sell but represent recommended relative
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Analyst Certification
The following analysts hereby certify that their views about the companies and their securities discussed in this report are accurately expressed and that they have not received and will not receive direct or indirect compensation in exchange for expressing specific recommendations or views in this report: Katy Huberty.
Unless otherwise stated, the individuals listed on the cover page of this report are research analysts.
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Important US Regulatory Disclosures on Subject Companies
As of December 31, 2012, Morgan Stanley beneficially owned 1% or more of a class of common equity securities of the following companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research: Accenture Plc, Apple, Inc., Brocade Communications Systems, DELL, EMC Corp., Fusion-io, Inc., Lexmark International.
Within the last 12 months, Morgan Stanley managed or co-managed a public offering (or 144A offering) of securities of IBM, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc. Within the last 12 months, Morgan Stanley has received compensation for investment banking services from Accenture Plc, Brocade Communications Systems, DELL, EMC Corp., Hewlett-Packard, IBM, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc, SMART Technologies, Teradata.
In the next 3 months, Morgan Stanley expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from Accenture Plc, Apple, Inc., Brocade Communications Systems, Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp, DELL, EMC Corp., Fusion-io, Inc., Hewlett-Packard, IBM, Lexmark International, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc, QLogic Corporation, SMART Technologies, Teradata.
Within the last 12 months, Morgan Stanley has received compensation for products and services other than investment banking services from Accenture Plc, Apple, Inc., Brocade Communications Systems, DELL, EMC Corp., Hewlett-Packard, IBM, Lexmark International, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc, Seagate Technology, SMART Technologies.
Within the last 12 months, Morgan Stanley has provided or is providing investment banking services to, or has an investment banking client relationship with, the following company: Accenture Plc, Apple, Inc., Brocade Communications Systems, Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp, DELL, EMC Corp., Fusion-io, Inc., Hewlett-Packard, IBM, Lexmark International, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc, QLogic Corporation, SMART Technologies, Teradata.
Within the last 12 months, Morgan Stanley has either provided or is providing non-investment banking, securities-related services to and/or in the past has entered into an agreement to provide services or has a client relationship with the following company: Accenture Plc, Apple, Inc., Brocade Communications Systems, DELL, EMC Corp., Hewlett-Packard, IBM, Lexmark International, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc, QLogic Corporation, Seagate Technology, SMART Technologies.
An employee, director or consultant of Morgan Stanley is a director of IBM. This person is not a research analyst or a member of a research analyst's household.
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC makes a market in the securities of Accenture Plc, Apple, Inc., Brocade Communications Systems, Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp, DELL, EMC Corp., Fusion-io, Inc., Hewlett-Packard, IBM, Lexmark International, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc, QLogic Corporation, Seagate Technology, Teradata, Western Digital.
The equity research analysts or strategists principally responsible for the preparation of Morgan Stanley Research have received compensation based upon various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors, firm revenues and overall investment banking revenues.
Morgan Stanley and its affiliates do business that relates to companies/instruments covered in Morgan Stanley Research, including market making, providing liquidity and specialized trading, risk arbitrage and other proprietary trading, fund management, commercial banking, extension of credit, investment services and investment banking. Morgan Stanley sells to and buys from customers the securities/instruments of companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research on a principal basis. Morgan Stanley may have a position in the debt of the Company or instruments discussed in this report. Certain disclosures listed above are also for compliance with applicable regulations in non-US jurisdictions.
STOCK RATINGS
Morgan Stanley uses a relative rating system using terms such as Overweight, Equal-weight, Not-Rated or Underweight (see definitions below). Morgan Stanley does not assign ratings of Buy, Hold or Sell to the stocks we cover. Overweight, Equal-weight, Not-Rated and Underweight are not the equivalent of buy, hold and sell. Investors should carefully read the definitions of all ratings used in Morgan Stanley Research. In addition, since Morgan Stanley Research contains more complete information concerning the analyst's views, investors should carefully read Morgan Stanley Research, in its entirety, and not infer the contents from the rating alone. In any case, ratings (or research) should not be used or relied upon as investment advice. An investor's decision to buy or sell a stock should depend on individual circumstances (such as the investor's existing holdings) and other considerations.
Global Stock Ratings Distribution
(as of December 31, 2012)
For disclosure purposes only (in accordance with NASD and NYSE requirements), we include the category headings of Buy, Hold, and Sell alongside our ratings of Overweight, Equal-weight, Not-Rated and Underweight. Morgan Stanley does not assign ratings of Buy, Hold or Sell to the stocks we cover. Overweight, Equal-weight, Not-Rated and Underweight are not the equivalent of buy, hold, and sell but represent recommended relative
10
weightings (see definitions below). To satisfy regulatory requirements, we co
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
rrespond Overweight, our most positive stock rating, with a buy recommendation; we correspond Equal-weight and Not-Rated to hold and Underweight to sell recommendations, respectively.
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
rrespond Overweight, our most positive stock rating, with a buy recommendation; we correspond Equal-weight and Not-Rated to hold and Underweight to sell recommendations, respectively.
Coverage Universe
% of
Investment Banking Clients (IBC)
% of% of Rating
Stock Rating Category Count Total Count
Overweight/Buy 1103 37% 436 Equal-weight/Hold 1301 44% 497 Not-Rated/Hold 108 4% 27 Underweight/Sell 478 16% 111 Total 2,990 1071
Overweight/Buy 1103 37% 436 Equal-weight/Hold 1301 44% 497 Not-Rated/Hold 108 4% 27 Underweight/Sell 478 16% 111 Total 2,990 1071
Total IBC Category
41% 40% 46% 38% 3% 25% 10% 23%
41% 40% 46% 38% 3% 25% 10% 23%
Data include common stock and ADRs currently assigned ratings. An investor's decision to buy or sell a stock should depend on individual
circumstances (such as the investor's existing holdings) and other considerations. Investment Banking Clients are companies from whom Morgan
Stanley received investment banking compensation in the last 12 months.
Analyst Stock Ratings
Overweight (O). The stock's total return is expected to exceed the average total return of the analyst's industry (or industry team's) coverage universe, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months.
Equal-weight (E). The stock's total return is expected to be in line with the average total return of the analyst's industry (or industry team's) coverage universe, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months.
Not-Rated (NR). Currently the analyst does not have adequate conviction about the stock's total return relative to the average total return of the analyst's industry (or industry team's) coverage universe, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months.
Underweight (U). The stock's total return is expected to be below the average total return of the analyst's industry (or industry team's) coverage universe, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months.
Unless otherwise specified, the time frame for price targets included in Morgan Stanley Research is 12 to 18 months.
Analyst Industry Views
Attractive (A): The analyst expects the performance of his or her industry coverage universe over the next 12-18 months to be attractive vs. the relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below.
In-Line (I): The analyst expects the performance of his or her industry coverage universe over the next 12-18 months to be in line with the relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below.
Cautious (C): The analyst views the performance of his or her industry coverage universe over the next 12-18 months with caution vs. the relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below.
Benchmarks for each region are as follows: North America - S&P 500; Latin America - relevant MSCI country index or MSCI Latin America Index; Europe - MSCI Europe; Japan - TOPIX; Asia - relevant MSCI country index.
.
Stock Price, Price Target and Rating History (See Rating Definitions)
Analyst Stock Ratings
Overweight (O). The stock's total return is expected to exceed the average total return of the analyst's industry (or industry team's) coverage universe, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months.
Equal-weight (E). The stock's total return is expected to be in line with the average total return of the analyst's industry (or industry team's) coverage universe, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months.
Not-Rated (NR). Currently the analyst does not have adequate conviction about the stock's total return relative to the average total return of the analyst's industry (or industry team's) coverage universe, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months.
Underweight (U). The stock's total return is expected to be below the average total return of the analyst's industry (or industry team's) coverage universe, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months.
Unless otherwise specified, the time frame for price targets included in Morgan Stanley Research is 12 to 18 months.
Analyst Industry Views
Attractive (A): The analyst expects the performance of his or her industry coverage universe over the next 12-18 months to be attractive vs. the relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below.
In-Line (I): The analyst expects the performance of his or her industry coverage universe over the next 12-18 months to be in line with the relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below.
Cautious (C): The analyst views the performance of his or her industry coverage universe over the next 12-18 months with caution vs. the relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below.
Benchmarks for each region are as follows: North America - S&P 500; Latin America - relevant MSCI country index or MSCI Latin America Index; Europe - MSCI Europe; Japan - TOPIX; Asia - relevant MSCI country index.
.
Stock Price, Price Target and Rating History (See Rating Definitions)
11
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
12
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
13
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
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Each Morgan Stanley Equity Research report is reviewed and approved on behalf of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC. This review and approval is conducted by the same person who reviews the Equity Research report on behalf of Morgan Stanley. This could create a conflict of interest.
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Morgan Stanley & Co. International PLC and its affiliates have a significant financial interest in the debt securities of Brocade Communications Systems, DELL, EMC Corp., Hewlett-Packard, IBM, Lexmark International, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc.
Morgan Stanley is not acting as a municipal advisor and the opinions or views contained herein are not intended to be, and do not constitute, advice within the meaning of Section 975 of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act.
Morgan Stanley produces an equity research product called a "Tactical Idea." Views contained in a "Tactical Idea" on a particular stock may be contrary to the recommendations or views expressed in research on the same stock. This may be the result of differing time horizons, methodologies, market events, or other factors. For all research available on a particular stock, please contact your sales representative or go to Client Link at www.morganstanley.com.
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The fixed income research analysts, strategists or economists principally responsible for the preparation of Morgan Stanley Research have received compensation based upon various factors, including quality, accuracy and value of research, firm profitability or revenues (which include fixed income trading and capital markets profitability or revenues), client feedback and competitive factors. Fixed Income Research analysts', strategists' or economists' compensation is not linked to investment banking or capital markets transactions performed by Morgan Stanley or the profitability or revenues of particular trading desks.
Morgan Stanley Research is not an offer to buy or sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security/instrument or to participate in any particular trading strategy. The "Important US Regulatory Disclosures on Subject Companies" section in Morgan Stanley Research lists all companies mentioned where Morgan Stanley owns 1% or more of a class of common equity securities of the companies. For all other companies mentioned in Morgan Stanley Research, Morgan Stanley may have an investment of less than 1% in securities/instruments or derivatives of securities/instruments of companies and may trade them in ways different from those discussed in Morgan Stanley Research. Employees of Morgan Stanley not involved in the preparation of Morgan Stanley Research may have investments in securities/instruments or derivatives of securities/instruments of companies mentioned and may trade them in ways different from those discussed in Morgan Stanley Research. Derivatives may be issued by Morgan Stanley or associated persons.
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Other Important Disclosures
Morgan Stanley & Co. International PLC and its affiliates have a significant financial interest in the debt securities of Brocade Communications Systems, DELL, EMC Corp., Hewlett-Packard, IBM, Lexmark International, NCR Corp., NetApp Inc.
Morgan Stanley is not acting as a municipal advisor and the opinions or views contained herein are not intended to be, and do not constitute, advice within the meaning of Section 975 of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act.
Morgan Stanley produces an equity research product called a "Tactical Idea." Views contained in a "Tactical Idea" on a particular stock may be contrary to the recommendations or views expressed in research on the same stock. This may be the result of differing time horizons, methodologies, market events, or other factors. For all research available on a particular stock, please contact your sales representative or go to Client Link at www.morganstanley.com.
Morgan Stanley Research does not provide individually tailored investment advice. Morgan Stanley Research has been prepared without regard to the circumstances and objectives of those who receive it. Morgan Stanley recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The appropriateness of an investment or strategy will depend on an investor's circumstances and objectives. The securities, instruments, or strategies discussed in Morgan Stanley Research may not be suitable for all investors, and certain investors may not be eligible to purchase or participate in some or all of them. Morgan Stanley Research is not an offer to buy or sell any security/instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. The value of and income from your investments may vary because of changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, default rates, prepayment rates, securities/instruments prices, market indexes, operational or financial conditions of companies or other factors. There may be time limitations on the exercise of options or other rights in securities/instruments transactions. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Estimates of future performance are based on assumptions that may not be realized. If provided, and unless otherwise stated, the closing price on the cover page is that of the primary exchange for the subject company's securities/instruments.
The fixed income research analysts, strategists or economists principally responsible for the preparation of Morgan Stanley Research have received compensation based upon various factors, including quality, accuracy and value of research, firm profitability or revenues (which include fixed income trading and capital markets profitability or revenues), client feedback and competitive factors. Fixed Income Research analysts', strategists' or economists' compensation is not linked to investment banking or capital markets transactions performed by Morgan Stanley or the profitability or revenues of particular trading desks.
Morgan Stanley Research is not an offer to buy or sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security/instrument or to participate in any particular trading strategy. The "Important US Regulatory Disclosures on Subject Companies" section in Morgan Stanley Research lists all companies mentioned where Morgan Stanley owns 1% or more of a class of common equity securities of the companies. For all other companies mentioned in Morgan Stanley Research, Morgan Stanley may have an investment of less than 1% in securities/instruments or derivatives of securities/instruments of companies and may trade them in ways different from those discussed in Morgan Stanley Research. Employees of Morgan Stanley not involved in the preparation of Morgan Stanley Research may have investments in securities/instruments or derivatives of securities/instruments of companies mentioned and may trade them in ways different from those discussed in Morgan Stanley Research. Derivatives may be issued by Morgan Stanley or associated persons.
With the exception of information regarding Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Research is based on public information. Morgan Stanley makes every effort to use reliable, comprehensive information, but we make no representation that it is accurate or complete. We have no obligation to tell you when opinions or information in Morgan Stanley
14
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Research change apart from when we intend to discontinue equity research coverage of a subject company. Facts and views presented in Morgan Stanley Research have not been reviewed by, and may not reflect information known to, professionals in other Morgan Stanley business areas, including investment banking personnel.
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The trademarks and service marks contained in Morgan Stanley Research are the property of their respective owners. Third-party data providers make no warranties or representations relating to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the data they provide and shall not have liability for any damages relating to such data. The Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) was developed by and is the exclusive property of MSCI and S&P. Morgan Stanley bases projections, opinions, forecasts and trading strategies regarding the MSCI Country Index Series solely on public information. MSCI has not reviewed, approved or endorsed these projections, opinions, forecasts and trading strategies. Morgan Stanley has no influence on or control over MSCI's index compilation decisions. Morgan Stanley Research or portions of it may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley research is disseminated and available primarily electronically, and, in some cases, in printed form. Additional information on recommended securities/instruments is available on request.
Morgan Stanley Research, or any portion thereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Morgan Stanley.
Morgan Stanley Research is disseminated and available primarily electronically, and, in some cases, in printed form.
Additional information on recommended securities/instruments is available on request.
January 10, 2013 EMC Corp.
Research change apart from when we intend to discontinue equity research coverage of a subject company. Facts and views presented in Morgan Stanley Research have not been reviewed by, and may not reflect information known to, professionals in other Morgan Stanley business areas, including investment banking personnel.
Morgan Stanley Research personnel may participate in company events such as site visits and are generally prohibited from accepting payment by the company of associated expenses unless pre-approved by authorized members of Research management.
Morgan Stanley may make investment decisions or take proprietary positions that are inconsistent with the recommendations or views in this report.
To our readers in Taiwan: Information on securities/instruments that trade in Taiwan is distributed by Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited ("MSTL"). Such information is for your reference only. Information on any securities/instruments issued by a company owned by the government of or incorporated in the PRC and listed in on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong ("SEHK"), namely the H-shares, including the component company stocks of the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong ("SEHK")'s Hang Seng China Enterprise Index is distributed only to Taiwan Securities Investment Trust Enterprises ("SITE"). The reader should independently evaluate the investment risks and is solely responsible for their investment decisions. Morgan Stanley Research may not be distributed to the public media or quoted or used by the public media without the express written consent of Morgan Stanley. To our readers in Hong Kong: Information is distributed in Hong Kong by and on behalf of, and is attributable to, Morgan Stanley Asia Limited as part of its regulated activities in Hong Kong. If you have any queries concerning Morgan Stanley Research, please contact our Hong Kong sales representatives. Information on securities/instruments that do not trade in Taiwan is for informational purposes only and is not to be construed as a recommendation or a solicitation to trade in such securities/instruments. MSTL may not execute transactions for clients in these securities/instruments.
Morgan Stanley is not incorporated under PRC law and the research in relation to this report is conducted outside the PRC. Morgan Stanley Research does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities in the PRC. PRC investors shall have the relevant qualifications to invest in such securities and shall be responsible for obtaining all relevant approvals, licenses, verifications and/or registrations from the relevant governmental authorities themselves.
Morgan Stanley Research is disseminated in Brazil by Morgan Stanley C.T.V.M. S.A.; in Japan by Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities Co., Ltd. and, for Commodities related research reports only, Morgan Stanley Capital Group Japan Co., Ltd; in Hong Kong by Morgan Stanley Asia Limited (which accepts responsibility for its contents); in Singapore by Morgan Stanley Asia (Singapore) Pte. (Registration number 199206298Z) and/or Morgan Stanley Asia (Singapore) Securities Pte Ltd (Registration number 200008434H), regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (which accepts legal responsibility for its contents and should be contacted with respect to any matters arising from, or in connection with, Morgan Stanley Research); in Australia to "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Australian Corporations Act by Morgan Stanley Australia Limited A.B.N. 67 003 734 576, holder of Australian financial services license No. 233742, which accepts responsibility for its contents; in Australia to "wholesale clients" and "retail clients" within the meaning of the Australian Corporations Act by Morgan Stanley Smith Barney Australia Pty Ltd (A.B.N. 19 009 145 555, holder of Australian financial services license No. 240813, which accepts responsibility for its contents; in Korea by Morgan Stanley & Co International plc, Seoul Branch; in India by Morgan Stanley India Company Private Limited; in Indonesia by PT Morgan Stanley Asia Indonesia; in Canada by Morgan Stanley Canada Limited, which has approved of and takes responsibility for its contents in Canada; in Germany by Morgan Stanley Bank AG, Frankfurt am Main and Morgan Stanley Private Wealth Management Limited, Niederlassung Deutschland, regulated by Bundesanstalt fuer Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht (BaFin); in Spain by Morgan Stanley, S.V., S.A., a Morgan Stanley group company, which is supervised by the Spanish Securities Markets Commission (CNMV) and states that Morgan Stanley Research has been written and distributed in accordance with the rules of conduct applicable to financial research as established under Spanish regulations; in the US by Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, which accepts responsibility for its contents. Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc, authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority, disseminates in the UK research that it has prepared, and approves solely for the purposes of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000, research which has been prepared by any of its affiliates. Morgan Stanley Private Wealth Management Limited, authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority, also disseminates Morgan Stanley Research in the UK. Private UK investors should obtain the advice of their Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc or Morgan Stanley Private Wealth Management representative about the investments concerned. RMB Morgan Stanley (Proprietary) Limited is a member of the JSE Limited and regulated by the Financial Services Board in South Africa. RMB Morgan Stanley (Proprietary) Limited is a joint venture owned equally by Morgan Stanley International Holdings Inc. and RMB Investment Advisory (Proprietary) Limited, which is wholly owned by FirstRand Limited.
The information in Morgan Stanley Research is being communicated by Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc (DIFC Branch), regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (the DFSA), and is directed at Professional Clients only, as defined by the DFSA. The financial products or financial services to which this research relates will only be made available to a customer who we are satisfied meets the regulatory criteria to be a Professional Client.
The information in Morgan Stanley Research is being communicated by Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc (QFC Branch), regulated by the Qatar Financial Centre Regulatory Authority (the QFCRA), and is directed at business customers and market counterparties only and is not intended for Retail Customers as defined by the QFCRA.
As required by the Capital Markets Board of Turkey, investment information, comments and recommendations stated here, are not within the scope of investment advisory activity. Investment advisory service is provided in accordance with a contract of engagement on investment advisory concluded between brokerage houses, portfolio management companies, non-deposit banks and clients. Comments and recommendations stated here rely on the individual opinions of the ones providing these comments and recommendations. These opinions may not fit to your financial status, risk and return preferences. For this reason, to make an investment decision by relying solely to this information stated here may not bring about outcomes that fit your expectations.
The trademarks and service marks contained in Morgan Stanley Research are the property of their respective owners. Third-party data providers make no warranties or representations relating to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the data they provide and shall not have liability for any damages relating to such data. The Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) was developed by and is the exclusive property of MSCI and S&P. Morgan Stanley bases projections, opinions, forecasts and trading strategies regarding the MSCI Country Index Series solely on public information. MSCI has not reviewed, approved or endorsed these projections, opinions, forecasts and trading strategies. Morgan Stanley has no influence on or control over MSCI's index compilation decisions. Morgan Stanley Research or portions of it may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley research is disseminated and available primarily electronically, and, in some cases, in printed form. Additional information on recommended securities/instruments is available on request.
Morgan Stanley Research, or any portion thereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Morgan Stanley.
Morgan Stanley Research is disseminated and available primarily electronically, and, in some cases, in printed form.
Additional information on recommended securities/instruments is available on request.
15
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Industry Coverage:Systems and PC Hardware
Company (Ticker)
Katy L. Huberty, CFA Accenture Plc (ACN.N) Apple, Inc. (AAPL.O) Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp (CTSH.O) DELL (DELL.O) EMC Corp. (EMC.N) Fusion-io, Inc. (FIO.N) Hewlett-Packard (HPQ.N) IBM (IBM.N) Lexmark International (LXK.N) NCR Corp. (NCR.N) NetApp Inc (NTAP.O) QLogic Corporation (QLGC.O) SMART Technologies (SMT.O) Seagate Technology (STX.O) Teradata (TDC.N) Western Digital (WDC.O) Scott Schmitz Brocade Communications Systems (BRCD.O)
Rating (as of)Price* (01/09/2013)
O (07/10/2012)
O (05/26/2009)
E (07/10/2012)
E (09/30/2012) E (01/10/2013) O (01/03/2012) E (05/23/2011) E (09/08/2009) U (07/14/2010) E (09/25/2011) E (07/27/2009) U (05/23/2011) E (02/14/2012) E (01/03/2012) O (05/23/2011) E (04/28/2011) E (09/26/2011)
$69.78
$517.1
$74.41
$10.93 $24.02 $19.26 $15.85 $192.32 $25.49 $26.6 $32.21 $9.76 $1.91 $33.48 $63.81 $43.8 $5.37
Stock Ratings are subject to change. Please see latest research for each company.
* Historical prices are not split adjusted.
© 2013 Morgan Stanley
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